The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has changed its race ratings in 10 closely-watched races in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Seven out of the 10 rating changes benefit Democrats, although two of the three that moved toward Republicans are in Latino majority congressional districts in South Texas. The latest developments in the Lower Rio Grande Valley highlight the GOPs gains with Hispanic voters.
Republicans also feel emboldened by numbers they're seeing in heavily Democratic states and districts, like Oregon and Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District.
The Cook Political Report's David Wasserman notes it's unusual to see so many race rating shifts towards the president's party in a midterm election year. However, because of the lengthy redistricting process, the ratings given to most seats came at a time when President Joe Biden's approval numbers were at a low ebb.
Fox News has more on the announcement:
Four out of the ten shifts now place races in four different states with ratings of “Likely D” or “Lean D.” In addition, four races from three different states are now rated as “Solid R” or “Lean R.”
In Pennsylvania's 7th District, the rating for the race featuring incumbent Democrat Rep. Susan Wild changed from “Lean R” to “Toss Up.” In Texas' 34th District, the race featuring GOP Rep. Mayra Flores and Democrat Rep. Vicente Gonzalez changed from “Lean D” to “Toss Up.”
However, Cook Political Report isn't the only well-known election forecaster.
According to RealClearPolitics, if the elections were held today, Republicans would pick up two seats in the Senate, 23 seats in the House and two governorships.
So, what do you think? Will the midterms be closer than initially thought or will the polls be wrong again in 2022? Tell us your thoughts in the comments below!
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There are plenty of stupid people but we’ll see.
I think that if anybody in this country that votes Democrat after seeing nearly two years of destruction to this country and its people are complete iditols’ you can sit there and truthfully say everything this nan has done in a year and a half and that he has been in office is good and you agree with his ideas and policies, you are as brain dead as a rock. You agree with destroying your own right and becoming a socialists and communist country run by the government and not by the people. That is what is happening with this feeble old man and whoever he has running this country. You go on and vote for the Democrats and say goodbye to the land of the free.
Yes I agree! I can’t hardly believe that this poll is correct it’s unbelievable how ppl are so stupid today. It’s very sad for our country the stupid little things that ppl argue abt when our country is hardly recognizable I pray ppl wake up in the voting booth.
Rigged data again
What do I think? I think no article quoting pollsters has any credibility until you start publishing with it the pollster’ past record of success or failure.
For example, in this article Cook is quoted as predicting results for several House Congressional races. What is their past record of predicting outcomes in these races two months before the election? What is their success rate when predicting “Leaning R”? “Leaning D”? How do those figures compare to other pollsters?
Obviously, if their past record proved to be 99% accurate, these polls mean something and should be given some weight. But no pollster is within shouting distance of that number. What if they are 75%? 60%? 50%? What if you remove the races where incumbents are essentially running against a no-name or unopposed and rate the pollster’s ability to pick only the competitive races and you get numbers in the 75%-50% range?
Of course, pollsters do want this. They want the illusion that they should be believed and you should pay attention to them.
It’s how they make money. Lying.
Pollsters one more institution- falls to grifter status. In Canada pollsters said in the Conservative party race it was Charest (liberal plant) ahead by a point over the real conservative Poilievre. It ended up 68% for Poilievre and 16% for Charest. MSM was cheering Charest. Poilievre won in 98 ridings.
Pollsters are now no different than MSM.
The truth is nothing can be trusted. When a concerted push is done by MSM one must ask is it a distraction or a projection or a softening up or is the opposite true.
It is my understanding that there are many SILENT Americans who refuse to participate in polls and surveys. They are keeping their silence — for now! They are expected to vote in person in the polls in November and vent their collective spleens there. Many of them are expected to vote for conservative candidates. I wouldn’t put too much faith in surveys and polls. I WOULD put a lot of faith in prayer and the one and only true God.
americans have a death wish? keep votin’ democrat and it will come about.