ANALYSIS – The war drums are beating louder. And there is a good chance Israel could obliterate Iran's terror regime once and for all if the Islamist state attacks Israel directly.
This, despite Joe Biden's compromised team of Iran-lovers which has given the mullahs billions of dollars in sanctions relief and unfrozen assets.
Multiple intelligence sources from the U.S. and its allies are saying that Iran is very close to launching a large-scale attack against the Jewish state. (RELATED: Israeli Troops Make Horrifying Discovery In Gaza)
Several questions come to mind, such as will Iran attack Israel directly from Iranian soil, or will it use its proxies such as Hezbollah to do the dirty work.
The bigger question though is, will Iran survive the Israeli response?
Tensions between the rival Mideast powers have turned white hot following the killings of Iranian generals, including the regional Quds Force commander, in what appears to have been an Israeli strike on the Iranian consulate in Syria.
The site is known as an Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) headquarters.
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei vowed retaliation for that strike. (RELATED: Welcome To The Heartland? Protesters In Midwest City Chant ‘Death To America')
“When they attack the consulate, it is as if they have attacked our soil,” he said during a speech marking the end of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan. “The evil regime made a mistake and must be punished, and it shall be.”
But Israel's foreign minister said emphatically on Wednesday that his nation would strike Iran directly if the Islamic Republic launched an attack from its territory against Israel.
Israel Katz, responded to Khamenei on X, posting in Hebrew, “If Iran attacks from its territory, Israel will respond and attack in Iran.”
Iranian escalation has been particularly worrisome as the nation edges closer to producing nuclear weapons.
Meanwhile Daniel Markind writes in Forbes: “Israeli soldiers have had their leaves cancelled, embassies have closed, and the public has been on edge, but to this point no retaliatory strike has come.”
He adds, however that:
While it remains likely that Iran will attempt to strike Israel directly, and hard, Iran is in a terrible position. Indeed, if the Iranian response triggers full scale war with Israel, it is doubtful that the Islamic Republic can survive.
Since the Israeli strike, armed rebellion has broken out in Baluchistan Province in Iran's east, near Pakistan. The local inhabitants there are ethnic Baluchis, not Persians. Iran is a polyglot country, with dozens of ethnicities coexisting uneasily.
Then this week the Iranian currency, the rial, crashed, losing 30% of its value to close at more than 600,000 rial/US dollar. Already weak, the rial crash means the Iranian people are even more impoverished than before, a difficult thing for the Mullahs who rule Iran to explain as their country is rich in oil reserves.
Markind continues:
A full-scale fight with Israel means Iran must convert to a war economy on an already weak base when the Iranian public is not on board. Despite being much smaller in population, Israel's economy is larger than Iran's. Israeli society is praying for no war with Iran, but should that come Israeli society will be united against a true existential threat. Iranian society will be completely divided.
Recall as well that Israel has nuclear weapons and Iran still does not. In the end, an Iranian strike on Israel that provokes an Israeli counterstrike on Iran, could be the beginning of the end of the Iranian terror regime.
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