Prominent polling guru and FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver is sounding the alarm for Republicans after he re-labeled the presidential election a “toss-up.”
In a post online, Silver recalled a past article where he argued that the race wasn’t a toss-up because of how poor Biden was performing in key swing states, even before his debate performance shocked Democrats into action.
“Now that the election is in kamala_mode, however, it’s far from clear whose position you’d rather be in, and I wouldn’t blame if you wanted to bet either on Harris or on Trump,” he wrote.
As of Thursday, Silver argued, Harris and former President Trump each have at least a 40 percent chance of winning the election. Harris earns 44.6 percent compared to Trump’s 54.9, he said.
“It’s not exactly 50/50, but close enough that a poker player would call it a ‘flip’: Democrats have ace-king suited, and Republicans have pocket jacks,” Silver said.
The FiveThirtyEight founder said Harris is performing well in swing states but it’s still up in the air. He said she has a 54 percent chance of winning Michigan, a 50 percent chance of winning Wisconsin and a 47 percent chance of winning Pennsylvania.
Silver echoed similar warnings that Democrats shouldn’t be too excited. His model has accounted for the excitement that’s generated for Harris after she became the likely nominee but it could be “a temporary surge of Democratic enthusiasm.”
“Still, we’re not exactly going out on a limb here. Betting markets agree with the assessment that the race is about 50/50,” he said.
“And although we can’t tell you who’s going to win, there’s one thing I think we can say with some confidence: Democrats are lucky that they’re getting a second chance in this election with Harris instead of Biden,” Silver concluded.
Article Published With The Permission of Great America News Desk.
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Well that is just so sad! Just proves how many Americans have their head in a dark place !
Why do democrats wish to commit (DIE) suicide?
we cannot let this woman be inserted like Joe Biden. she has NEVER HAD A SINGLE VOTE FROM THE AMERICAN PEOPLE. COMMUNISTS WANT HER INSERTED AS SHE WILL BE Joe Biden NUMBER TWO PUPPET, OBAMA WILL CONTINUE IN HIS FOURTH TERM. THE CABINET IS ALL OBAMA FLUNKIES. THIS COUNTRY WILL FALL IF SHE GETS INSERTED INTO THE WHITEHOUSE. FOR THE LOVE OF GOD IN HEAVEN, WAKE UP. SHE IS A CLEAR AND PRESENT DANGER TO OUR COUNTRY. LOOK AT HER PERFORMANCE AS A VP. SHE HAS NOTHING TO SHOW FOR HER TIME IN OFFICE EXCEPT FAILURE, AND OBLIVIOUS RESPONSE TO THE AMERICAN PEOPLE GOING WITHOUT FOOD ORMEDICINE, AND THROWING MONEY AT UKRAINE, ILLEGAL ALIENS. SHE IS FOR DEFUNDING THE POLICE, PAYING THE BAIL FOR GEORGE FLOYD RIOTERS, CANCELLING PRIVATE HEALTH INSURANCE, AND THE LIST IS ENDLESS. LOOK TO CALIFORNIA FOR HOW SHE RUINED IT. SHE HAD WILLY BROWN TO PUSH HER TO THE TOP OF HER INCOMPETENCE. SHE WAS HIS GIRLFRIEND WHILE HE WAS MARRIED. READ HIS BOOK ON IT. VOTE RED. FORGET BLUE UNLESS YOU LIKE THE CONDITIONS YOU ARE LIVING UNDER NOW. PLEASE.
I couldn’t believe the American people elected a not too bright ever, lifetime politician who obviously had the beginnings of dementia!! Then I decided they picked the least credible person to be VP, because though a woman(big plus) is apparently an absolute inanity, so nobody would move to usurp Biden!!! Has anyone ever heard such drivel as she has spouted in interviews, speeches – almost every appearance???? And now it’s declared we may possibly turn this country over to her??? If we do that we will allow the continued destruction of our once great Nation. It is depressing, especially thinking this is what we are leaving our children/grandchildren – the demise of the greatest country ever for the greatest percentage of its citizens and even for the world!!!