Election Prognosticator Shifts Arizona Senate Race

Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons
American Liberty News
- July 26, 2024
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ANALYSIS – Is Trump regretting his VP pick? Will Trump tell Vance he is “fired”? When former President selected as his vice presidential candidate soon after surviving an assassination attempt, some called the choice bold and a doubling down on Trumpism.

I said he could help Trump make his case in and be the GOP standard bearer in 2028. Still, I also said I would have preferred Trump had picked a woman, and that I had some reservations about Vance as VP, including his youth and inexperience.

Republicans won't be happy about this…

A well-known elections handicapper has shifted Arizona‘s Senate election from “toss-up” to “leans Democratic,” dealing a concerning blow to Republicans.

Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics said in a release Wednesday that it moved its rating toward Democrats because of the “increased importance” of rights following the recent court decision. (RELATED: Arizona Supreme Court Revives 160-Year-Old Abortion Ban)

Sabato's Crystal Ball said it now sees Democrats as a slight favorite to win the seat. More fuel was added to the ongoing national debate over abortion rights following the overturning of Roe v. Wade when the Supreme Court last week upheld an 1864 state law that makes abortion illegal except to save the life of the mother.

Ruben Gallego is not facing any opposition for the Democrat nomination for the seat being vacated by Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.), who is not running for reelection. 

Gallego and Lake, along with several other Arizona politicians from both parties, issued statements opposing the ruling after it was handed down. (RELATED: Kari Lake Is Not Happy About Arizona's Abortion Ban: Report)

“In addition to covering the state of Arizona as a fair and honest journalist for 27 years, I have traveled to every corner of this state on the campaign trail. I speak to more Arizonans than anyone and it is abundantly clear that the pre-statehood law is out of step with Arizonans,” a statement from Lake read. “I am the only woman and mother in this race. I understand the fear, anxiety and joy of pregnancy and motherhood. I wholeheartedly agree with President Trump — this is a very personal issue that should be determined by each individual state and her people. I oppose today's ruling, and am calling on Katie Hobbs and the State Legislature to come up with an immediate common sense solution that Arizonans can support.”

The rating also changed because of Gallego having a stronger fundraising quarter over the first three months of the year, hauling in $7.5 million. 

The release said the rating does improve Democrats' chances for winning the Senate, but Republicans will still have an easier path with the map of seats up for election this year.

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ANALYSIS – Is Trump regretting his VP pick? Will Trump tell Vance

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