New Poll Shows Virginia Isn’t the Only State Democrats Have to Worry About This Fall

With the increasingly blue hue of New Jersey, few political prognosticators expected a competitive governor's race in the Garden State.

Nevertheless, we may have one on our hands. A new poll from Emerson College shows Republican Jack Ciattarelli six points behind Gov. Phil Murphy (D).

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Upon diving into the numbers, things look even more worrisome for the incumbent governor.

Currently, an estimated seven percent of voters remain undecided. Moreover, Emerson reports that “59% are leaning towards Ciattarelli.” With those leaners included, Murphy's lead drops to four points.

That's one-tenth of a percentage point outside of the poll's margin of error.

The Hill reports:

The poll, which was conducted between Oct. 15 and Oct. 18, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

…

A poll conducted by Stockton University last month gave Murphy a 9-point lead over Ciattarelli, 50 percent to 41 percent. In June, a Fairleigh Dickinson University survey had Murphy up by 15 points, 48 percent to 33 percent.

Ciattarelli, a former state lawmaker who calls himself a “disciple of Lincoln,” is running to deny Murphy a second term as chief of the Garden State.

He is also looking to bring Republican leadership to a state that consistently goes blue in presidential and federal races. President Biden won New Jersey by more than 15 points in November.

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Do you think the governor's race in New Jersey could be a dead heat or are reports of Gov. Murphy “shaking in his boots” wishful thinking? As always, share your thoughts with us in the comments below!