Bill Huber from Goshen, United States, CC BY 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons
ANALYSIS – Maybe. Or maybe not. But it may not matter. We will soon know the results. And if it is as close as the pollsters, betters and pundits say, our country will be just as divided and angry regardless of who wins.
In addition to ideology, religion and values, polls show voters are split along gender, ethnic and educational lines. There is also a huge urban-rural divide.
Donald Trump has seen his popularity with men, especially Hispanic and younger men, improve greatly, while Kamala Harris has seen her standing among women surge.
And no matter what the election results are, these divisions will only remain, and likely become even more entrenched, raising the political tension and likelihood of civil conflict.
Still, let’s have one last look at the election predictions, polls and analysis.
A flurry of last-minute national polls arrived over the weekend which, when averaged out, show Kamala Harris with a slender 1% lead over Donald Trump nationally.
That doesn’t mean much though. It’s well within the margin of error, making it impossible to predict an outcome.
According to ABC News’ FiveThirtyEight poll tracker, Harris is in the lead on 47.9%, while Trump has 46.9%.
Beyond that what really matters are the key swing states.
While about 240 million people are eligible to vote in this year’s U.S. election, only about 150 million will likely vote, and just a few thousand votes in key swing states are likely to decide whether Harris or Trump wins the White House.
The winner will likely be decided in seven battleground states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin—that were very close in the previous 2020 election between Joe Biden and Trump.
And they are also very, very close now. The seven states won by fewer than 3 percentage points in 2020 are also likely to be close this November 5: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
The biggest prize in the seven swing states in this election is Pennsylvania, because it has the highest number of electoral college votes on offer and therefore makes it easier for the winner to hit the required 270 votes to become president.
Meanwhile, one dark cloud has just emerged over the Harris campaign: the number of U.S. job openings available to job seekers have been tumbling under the Harris-Bidenadministration.
According to the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of job openings available to job seekers is narrowing in the United States, with some 12,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in October—down from 223,000 new jobs added in September.
Previous reports have also shown that many of the jobs being generated under Harris-Biden have been going primarily to illegal foreigners, rather than American citizens and legal residents.
Whether these negative last minute economic statistics will sway any remaining voters, is hard to say. At this point we can only hope. And pray.
The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the positions of American Liberty News.
Paul Crespo is the Managing Editor of American Liberty Defense News. As a Marine Corps officer, he led Marines, served aboard ships in the Pacific and jumped from helicopters and airplanes. He was also a military attaché with the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) at U.S. embassies worldwide. He later ran for state and federal office, taught political science, wrote for the editorial board of a major newspaper and had his own radio show. A graduate of Georgetown, London and Cambridge universities, he brings decades of experience and insight to the issues that most threaten our American liberty – at home and from abroad. To read more go to: paulcrespo.com.
Capt. Chesley “Sully” Sullenberger, the celebrated pilot who saved 155 lives during the “Miracle
At American Liberty News, we eschew the mainstream media’s tightly controlled narrative to provide our readers with real news, real insights, and the means to take action. We seek out insightful coverage – and partner with knowledgeable and experienced people and organizations to bring you the information and insight our readers demand.
We humbly seek to provide the tools and information necessary for our readers to decide for themselves what is true and what is right.
Is The Election Really Too Close To Call?
ANALYSIS – Maybe. Or maybe not. But it may not matter. We will soon know the results. And if it is as close as the pollsters, betters and pundits say, our country will be just as divided and angry regardless of who wins.
In addition to ideology, religion and values, polls show voters are split along gender, ethnic and educational lines. There is also a huge urban-rural divide.
Donald Trump has seen his popularity with men, especially Hispanic and younger men, improve greatly, while Kamala Harris has seen her standing among women surge.
And no matter what the election results are, these divisions will only remain, and likely become even more entrenched, raising the political tension and likelihood of civil conflict.
Still, let’s have one last look at the election predictions, polls and analysis.
A flurry of last-minute national polls arrived over the weekend which, when averaged out, show Kamala Harris with a slender 1% lead over Donald Trump nationally.
That doesn’t mean much though. It’s well within the margin of error, making it impossible to predict an outcome.
According to ABC News’ FiveThirtyEight poll tracker, Harris is in the lead on 47.9%, while Trump has 46.9%.
Beyond that what really matters are the key swing states.
While about 240 million people are eligible to vote in this year’s U.S. election, only about 150 million will likely vote, and just a few thousand votes in key swing states are likely to decide whether Harris or Trump wins the White House.
The winner will likely be decided in seven battleground states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin—that were very close in the previous 2020 election between Joe Biden and Trump.
And they are also very, very close now. The seven states won by fewer than 3 percentage points in 2020 are also likely to be close this November 5: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
The biggest prize in the seven swing states in this election is Pennsylvania, because it has the highest number of electoral college votes on offer and therefore makes it easier for the winner to hit the required 270 votes to become president.
Meanwhile, one dark cloud has just emerged over the Harris campaign: the number of U.S. job openings available to job seekers have been tumbling under the Harris-Bidenadministration.
According to the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of job openings available to job seekers is narrowing in the United States, with some 12,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in October—down from 223,000 new jobs added in September.
Previous reports have also shown that many of the jobs being generated under Harris-Biden have been going primarily to illegal foreigners, rather than American citizens and legal residents.
Whether these negative last minute economic statistics will sway any remaining voters, is hard to say. At this point we can only hope. And pray.
The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the positions of American Liberty News.
READ NEXT: GOP Achieves The Impossible In Deep-Blue Areas, Already Flipping Seats!
Paul Crespo
Paul Crespo is the Managing Editor of American Liberty Defense News. As a Marine Corps officer, he led Marines, served aboard ships in the Pacific and jumped from helicopters and airplanes. He was also a military attaché with the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) at U.S. embassies worldwide. He later ran for state and federal office, taught political science, wrote for the editorial board of a major newspaper and had his own radio show. A graduate of Georgetown, London and Cambridge universities, he brings decades of experience and insight to the issues that most threaten our American liberty – at home and from abroad. To read more go to: paulcrespo.com.
Search
follow us
subscribe
TRENDING STORIES
Careful What You Gavel For: How Boasberg’s Lecture Became Trump’s Weapon
New Air Force One Sent Back For ‘Maxed Out’ Security Upgrades
Best Picture No Longer Means Best: How Oscar Rules Forced Nolan To Cast For Race, Gender & Identity
Did Biden’s White House Counsel Tip Off A Major Democrat Fundraiser To Dodge Campaign Finance Probe?
SECURITY
Zelensky Removes Ukraine’s Top General After Days Of Nationwide Protests
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky dismissed the country’s top military commander Tuesday, replacing Gen. Oleksandr
Leaked Plans Reveal Kash Patel’s Reported Russia Trip With KGB Successor
FBI Director Kash Patel is planning to travel to Russia this fall for meetings
Two Army Air Defense Soldiers Killed As Iranian Strike Exposes Limits Of US Missile Defense
The Pentagon has identified two of the American soldiers killed during Iran’s devastating missile
US Troops Hit By Explosion While Destroying Downed Iranian Drone
A U.S. service member was killed in northern Iraq while participating in the controlled
FOREIGN AFFAIRS
Zelensky Removes Ukraine’s Top General After Days Of Nationwide Protests
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky dismissed the country’s top military commander Tuesday, replacing Gen. Oleksandr
Two Army Air Defense Soldiers Killed As Iranian Strike Exposes Limits Of US Missile Defense
The Pentagon has identified two of the American soldiers killed during Iran’s devastating missile
US Troops Hit By Explosion While Destroying Downed Iranian Drone
A U.S. service member was killed in northern Iraq while participating in the controlled
Memo Alleges China Sought To Pay American Journalists To Publish Anti-Trump Stories In 2020
A newly declassified CIA intelligence note alleges that the Chinese government sought to pay
BUSINESS & ECONOMICS
Trump Threatens New Tariffs Over Canada’s Wildfire Smoke
President Donald Trump threatened Friday to impose new tariffs on Canada, accusing Ottawa of
Xbox CEO’s Federal Reserve Appointment Sparks Backlash Following Microsoft Layoffs
The Federal Reserve is facing criticism after appointing Xbox CEO Asha Sharma to a
The AI Jobs Apocalypse Just Failed Its First Contact With The Evidence
Imagine a chief executive standing before his investors after a bruising quarter. He overhired
Trump Orders Immediate Halt to Trade With Spain Over NATO Dispute
President Donald Trump dramatically escalated his pressure campaign against NATO allies on Wednesday by
HEALTH & SCIENCE
FDA Rescinds Taylor Farms Lettuce Cyclospora Alert, Issues Apology
The Food and Drug Administration has reversed a key finding in its investigation of
Trump Threatens New Tariffs Over Canada’s Wildfire Smoke
President Donald Trump threatened Friday to impose new tariffs on Canada, accusing Ottawa of
JD Vance Says He Didn’t Know Biden Underwent Brain Surgeries, Faults Media During Rogan Interview
Vice President JD Vance expressed astonishment after learning during an interview with podcast host
Famous Captain Chesley ‘Sully’ Sullenberger Announces Alzheimer’s Diagnosis
Capt. Chesley “Sully” Sullenberger, the celebrated pilot who saved 155 lives during the “Miracle
At American Liberty News, we eschew the mainstream media’s tightly controlled narrative to provide our readers with real news, real insights, and the means to take action. We seek out insightful coverage – and partner with knowledgeable and experienced people and organizations to bring you the information and insight our readers demand.
We humbly seek to provide the tools and information necessary for our readers to decide for themselves what is true and what is right.
TOP TAGS
TOP CATEGORIES
FEATURES
American Liberty News ©2024
Evolution Digital Media
1900 Reston Metro Plz
Suite 600
Reston, VA 20190