Political Forecaster Shifts Battleground State Race Towards GOP

United States House of Representatives - Office of Ruben Gallego, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
American Liberty News
- June 4, 2026
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Arizona Democratic Sen. Ruben Gallego is launching an effort to challenge a new Trump Administration immigration policy that could require many green card applicants to leave the United States and complete the process abroad.

According to a report from The Hill, Gallego is not only seeking to overturn the policy itself but is also pursuing a procedural strategy that could make it easier for Congress to reverse the change.

The dispute revolves around a recent U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) policy affecting how certain immigrants obtain lawful permanent residency.

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Good news for Republicans…

The Cook Political Report shifted favor towards Republicans in the competitive Montana Senate race.

On Thursday, the “nonpartisan” election forecaster shifted the Democrat-held Montana Senate seat from “Lean Democrat” to “Toss Up,” a major move in the 2024 election as Democrats cling to their slim majority.

Incumbent Sen. John Tester (D) who is seeking his third term in the upper chamber is facing off against Republican Tim Sheehy. Cook Political Report wrote that Tester faces “the toughest uphill climb of any incumbent Democrat.”

“Three-term Sen. Jon Tester may well be Democrats’ strongest incumbent this cycle — he still enjoys an approval rating around 60 percent — but the 67-year-old has the toughest uphill climb of any incumbent Democrat, at least purely by the numbers,” Taylor said in her analysis.

Tester’s team responded to the shift and said the senator is “no stranger to tough fights,” pointing to their campaign website in a statement to Fox News Digital.

“Jon’s no stranger to tough fights, and this election will be no different,” Shelbi Dantic, Montanans for Tester campaign manager, told Fox News on the recent rating.

Sheehy’s team also released a statement, suggesting that the shift toward the GOP “highlights that Montanans want to elect a political outsider who can bring a new generation of conservative leadership.”

“Tim Sheehy’s lead in the potential primary matchup highlights that Montanans want to elect a political outsider who can bring a new generation of conservative leadership and finally defeat Jon Tester next year,” Sheehy’s campaign wrote in a press release after the Cook rating dropped. “It’s clear that Tim’s message on the airwaves showcasing his military leadership as a former Navy SEAL and businessman and aerial firefighter is resonating with Republican primary voters in Montana.”

Democrats will be defending 23 of the 34 Senate seats next cycle, and Montana is set to play a key role in determining control of the Senate.

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Nancy Butler

Nancy grew up in the South where her passion for politics first began. After getting her BA in journalism from Ole Miss she became an arts and culture writer for Athens Magazine where she enjoyed reporting on the eclectic music and art scene in Athens, GA.

However, her desire to report on issues and policies impacting everyday Americans won out and she packed her bags for Washington, DC. Now, she splits her time between the Nation’s Capital and Philadelphia where she covers the fast-paced environment of politics, business, and news.
In her off time, you can find Nancy exploring museums or enjoying brunch with friends.

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