Sen. Deb Fischer (R-Neb.) is holding onto a small lead over independent Dan Osborn in the Nebraska Senate race, according to a new survey.
A New York Times/Siena College poll showed that Fischer, a two-term incumbent, is ahead by two percentage points among likely voters — 48 to 46 percent — putting her lead squarely in the margin of error. Five percent of respondents said they were undecided to refused to answer.
NYT/Siena Nebraska poll (H2H LV)
— Poll Tracker 📡 (@PollTracker2024) October 28, 2024
Nebraska President
Trump 55%
Harris 40%
Nebraska Senate
Fischer 48%
Osborn 46%
Nebraska Senate special
Ricketts 56%
Love Jr 38%
(Ricketts +19 when rounded)
(10/23-10/26)
Until the Times survey emerged, there had been little public polling on the race, and private polls from both campaigns showed contrasting views of the race. A recent Fischer internal poll showed that she was up by six percentage points, while one commissioned by Osborn’s team showed him leading by the same margin.
The incumbent senator’s slight lead comes despite former President Trump leading statewide over Vice President Harris by 15 percentage points.
The Cook Political Report recently shifted the Nebraska race from “likely” to “lean” Republican.
According to Decision Desk HQ’s latest forecast, Fischer has an 83 percent chance of winning next month.
The Hill noted that despite the recent uptick in financial support on Fischer’s behalf, Osborn and Democratic outside groups are out-spending Republicans in the final stretch. They spent $3.4 million last week compared to $2.6 million on the GOP side.
In another stunning turn of events a new survey out of New Hampshire that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has a narrow lead over his Democrat rival, Vice President Kamala Harris.
According to the poll of 622 registered voters conducted by Praecones Analytica on behalf of the New Hampshire Journal between October 24-26, Trump could be poised to pull off an upset in the state for the first time. Per Mediate, in 2016 Trump came within .37 of a point of beating Hillary Clinton in the Granite State, but in 2020, Joe Biden defeated Trump easily, 52.71%-45.36%.
“There’s a reason Kamala Harris has been spending money in New Hampshire. She’s on defense and knows President Trump is on the path to victory,” Trump campaign spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt told the New Hampshire Journal. “To my fellow Granite Staters who want to keep our beautiful state safe, business-friendly, and free — get out and vote for President Trump. Kamala Harris is a radical liberal who would destroy New Hampshire and America forever.
According to elections analyst Nate Silver, every swing state has seen Trump gain over the course of the last month and nationally, Trump is doing 1.9% better than he was a month ago.
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