The Wisconsin Supreme Court has declined to reconsider the state’s congressional district maps before the 2026 midterm elections, ensuring that the current boundaries will remain in place. This decision, issued without explanation, marks the second consecutive year the court has refused to address challenges to the congressional maps, despite previously mandating new state legislative districts.
Democrats had hoped that the court’s earlier ruling on state legislative maps would open the door to revisiting the congressional boundaries, arguing that the current maps violate the state constitution’s equal treatment clause. The current congressional map — drawn by Democratic Governor Tony Evers and upheld by the then-conservative-majority Wisconsin Supreme Court — has faced sharp criticism for favoring Republicans, who hold six of the state’s eight U.S. House seats, with just two considered competitive.
The lawsuits challenging the congressional maps were filed by the Elias Law Group and the Campaign Legal Center, focusing on claims of partisan gerrymandering and unequal population distribution among districts. However, the court’s refusal to hear the cases leaves the current map in place for the upcoming elections.
Current Partisan Makeup of the House
The U.S. House of Representatives currently comprises 220 Republicans and 215 Democrats, reflecting a narrow GOP majority. The historically slim margin means that Democrats need to flip just three seats to regain control of the chamber.
Projections for the 2026 Midterms
Looking ahead to the 2026 midterm elections, projections indicate a competitive landscape. While historical trends suggest the president’s party often loses seats during midterms, current models offer mixed forecasts. Some analyses suggest that Democrats have a strong chance to take back the House, even without a substantial lead in generic ballot polling. However, other forecasts indicate that Republicans are slightly favored to retain control, with 58% of respondents in a recent survey predicting a GOP majority in the House.
With margins this tight, it’s no exaggeration to say the Wisconsin Supreme Court’s decision could reshape the balance of power in the House — not just for 2026, but for years to come.
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