Army To Test New Rifles In Extreme Conditions, But The Guns Have Critics

- June 8, 2026
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PAUL’S DEFENSE BRIEF (PDB): Outside China, analysis of Taiwan remains overwhelmingly focused on mechanics of a potential maritime blockade or military takeover, for understandable reasons. A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would rank among the most economically and militarily disruptive events of 21st century.

Yet emphasis on how Beijing might use force to seize Taiwan has come at expense of an equally significant question of how it would attempt to rule the island afterwards.

After invasion: China considers problem of.

U.S. Army photo by Patrick A. Albright, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
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ANALYSIS – The Army is getting new guns. Well, at least new rifles. As I’ve written before, Sig Sauer won the competition in 2022 to field the new XM7 Rifle and XM250 Automatic Rifle combination to replace the M4A1 Carbine and M249 Squad Automatic Weapon within the next decade.

Both new weapons use the highly touted, fresh new 6.8mm round.

The Marine Corps and Special Operations Command (SOCOM) were also included in the years-long testing and development and will have the option to adopt the new-caliber weapons.

The new guns, with the new ammo, should allow users to shoot farther, faster, more accurately and hence more lethally than the two legacy weapons chambered in 5.56mm.

The program is known as the Next Generation Squad Weapons (NGSW). And now the Army is going to be testing them in extreme conditions this summer.

According to a Tuesday press release, these conditions will range from hot and cold to mud and “salt fog.” The release added that the new guns are expected to undergo airborne testing sometime next year.

In addition to those extreme environment tests, the Army will test the weapons’ ability to handle malfunctions and blank firing in what the service is calling Production Qualification Testing, or PQT.

Meanwhile, the rifles will continue to trickle out to line units.

While the new two weapons have gotten generally good performance reviews, especially among special operators, some aren’t so sure about one of them.

And the new, heavier round is part of the reason. Overall weight is the other.

As Miliary.com reports:

One former 75th Ranger Regiment officer told Military.com that the XM250 “is a welcome replacement to the outdated and largely unreliable M249. It’s lighter, more accurate, and uses a far superior round.”

But the weapons aren’t perfect, and the continued testing, especially the extreme environmental assessments that will occur between May and July, will likely show where those flaws may lie.

“The [XM7] is incredible in terms of its features and capabilities, but it’s too heavy, and too large right now to be a standard infantry rifle,” said the former Ranger officer, who was granted anonymity out of concern that talking to the media might impact professional prospects.

The fielding brings new ammo, as well. The lighter 5.56mm will be replaced with a heavier 6.8mm round. The additional weight, though seemingly minimal, adds up for grunts carrying it and a heavier weapon over long distances.

Referring to the XM7 Rifle intended to replace the M4, the former Ranger officer said, “I see it [as] more of a designated marksman rifle [rather] than a standard issue combat rifle.”

He added: “The new round is amazing performance-wise, but the average soldier can’t carry nearly as many rounds compared to the 5.56.”

Dr. Allan Orr, a strategic studies specialist who focuses on asymmetric warfare, has made a far more scathing review of the entire NGSW program.

Writing in the Army Times in February, Orr notes:

On all key technical measures, the Next Generation Squad Weapons program is imploding before Army’s very eyes. The program is on mechanical life support, with its progenitors at the Joint Chiefs obstinately now ramming the program through despite spectacularly failing multiple civilian-sector peer reviews almost immediately upon commercial release.

Orr also notes the new rifles’ operating system, saying: “Possibly aiming to avoid long-term health and safety issues associated with rifle gas, Army has selected an operating system less hardy in battlefield environments.”

He adds:

Civilian testing, testing Army either never did or is hiding, also only recently demonstrated that the rifle seemingly fails, at point-blank ranges, to meet its base criteria of penetrating Level 4 body armor (unassisted)… Of course, the rounds can penetrate body armor with Armor Piercing rounds, but so can 7.62x51mm NATO, even 5.56x45mm NATO.

While the Army never explicitly set this goal, it has insinuated to everyone, from the media to Congress, that this was a reason for the new weapons.

“The fundamental problem with the program,” Orr explains, “is there remains not enough tungsten available from China, as Army knows, to make the goal of making every round armor piercing even remotely feasible.”

Of course, relying on China for critical minerals for U.S. military purposes should be the biggest problem.

Orr also takes aim (pun intended) at the new sight chosen for the rifles.

He writes:

The Vortex XM-157, which may have critical components made in China, is most definitely not an ‘auto-aiming’ sight. For guaranteed hits, the shooter still must manually ‘ping’ the target. This takes back usable seconds and makes shooting 100% accurately on the fly, as envisioned under the program to justify the reduced available round count, an utter pipe dream. The scope is otherwise a normal scope.

Orr concludes: “Starting from a highly dubious intellectual, strategic and tactical baseline, the NGSW program is now failing mechanically and ballistically at once.”

So, now let’s see what the ‘extreme’ conditions testing and PQT will show us. And let’s see if the Army is honest about the results.

The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the positions of American Liberty News.

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Paul Crespo

Paul Crespo is the Managing Editor of American Liberty Defense News. As a Marine Corps officer, he led Marines, served aboard ships in the Pacific and jumped from helicopters and airplanes. He was also a military attaché with the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) at U.S. embassies worldwide. He later ran for state and federal office, taught political science, wrote for the editorial board of a major newspaper and had his own radio show. A graduate of Georgetown, London and Cambridge universities, he brings decades of experience and insight to the issues that most threaten our American liberty – at home and from abroad. To read more go to: paulcrespo.com.

9 Comments
    Cletus Eugene Blythe

    There are billions to be made by making a perfectly serviceable rifle or other item artificially obsolete and replacing them with something different but not significantly better. It’s a DoD Military-Industrialist Complex thing.

    Paul

    Oh well. If the woke military can’t recruit any young folks to fill its needs, the weight of the new weapons is a moot point.

    Stephen Russell

    Can we acess Decomm guns once new ones in Inventory??
    Modified for Civil use.

    William Allen

    If the JCOS, specifically Milley, are involved, it is guaranteed that any weapons development will be subpar and involve China because Milley is subpar. He is a disgrace the uniform.

    Robert Bagnell

    I am a little skeptical of this ‘new’ 6.8 mm cartridge however I’m not a fan of the 5.56 mm (M-4/M-16) I was issued an M-14 and loved that platform; the excuse to transition to M-16 was weight savings so this platform and ammunition weigh approximately the same as the M-14. Now reliability of the platform and penetration of the ammunition is being questioned. For several years there have been reliable AR-15 Platforms in 6 mm 6.5 mm and now a 7 mm (including the ARC) also there is a AR-10 platform that fires a 6.5 mm all of these platforms are reasonably lightweight and reliable and their cartridges are heavily (more stopping power) and longer range than the current 5.56 mm cartridge/platform. So perhaps a new competition is in order say AR-15 platform with the 6, 6.5 and 7 mm ARC

      Rich Bach

      Robert,
      I as issued an M-4 when I enlisted in the Marine Corps. I thought that weapon was really great. It was easy to qualify with in Boot Camp and after I got in the regular Corps, until the transition to the M-16. I had my difficulty with qualifying with the M-16. I now own an M1A which is similar to the M-14 and I own an AR-10. Both these weapons chamber a 7.62×51 round. I would never give either of those weapons up. The military going to a different caliber weapon, seems counter productive to me.

    R. R. Cunningham

    Many years ago we had a fantastic rifle known as the 1903 Springfield. Obviously it became obsolete. We then had the M-1. It was a terribly heavy rifle but was the best we had at that time. I have one and even with it’s weight it’s a well made rifle.
    Instead of creating a good rifle we’re developing many that simply don’t get the job done. In my opinion we should make a rifle with a bit more power, a larger load and one that will knock a man down and make it so he doesn’t want to get up. Personally, I’m in favor of the .30 Calber round that was so efficient for so many years. Perhaps the .308 would be the way to go, but these little 5 or six mm rounds simply don’t get the job done. During the century’s century we freed the world twice with FEET AND INCHES! So why should we have to go with this MM crap other failing countries us? I’m totally fed up with this BS about doing as others do. At one time WE were the country that actually saved the world from oppression. That is no loner the case. with our sissified little 6.5 mm rounds. Granted, I was Navy and never carried a M-1.but I have to admire those who carried that very heavy rifle in combat. Why the hell can’t we make something better for them to carry in combat? Something that will actually kill the enemy!.

Comments are closed.

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