China Studies US War Against Iran For Strategic Lessons

U.S. Navy, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

PAUL’S DEFENSE BRIEF (PDB)Dr. Thomas Lynch III, retired Army Col., and fellow at National Defense University, says China is closely studying this conflict, similar to how it analyzed Desert Storm and Iraqi Freedom, but now with 25 years of added military modernization.

Both sides in Iran are expending massive quantities of weapons, and Beijing is evaluating U.S. vulnerabilities, endurance in a prolonged fight, and opportunities to erode American power in a future confrontation.

Meanwhile, as China ignores Trump’s call for help in Strait of Hormuz, Trump seeks to delay meeting with Xi in China by about a month.

And why should Xi help Trump? Hormuz Crossings Paralyzed, but China-Bound Ships Keep Moving. Lynch also said China has built at least a 120-day strategic reserve of fossil fuels that would fuel nearly all of its industries, should it lose its oil supply from Iran.

FOR YOUR EYES ONLY – Here’s a roundup of today’s other top defense news from conservative national security expert PAUL CRESPO.

THE PDB – Not the President’s Daily Briefing, but almost as good – PAUL’S DEFENSE BRIEF:    

NATIONAL SECURITY

Hate to admit that he is right. Trump-hating GOP turncoat former Rep. Adam Kinzinger said President Trump did not adequately prepare the American public for war with Iran, calling that his “biggest mistake” in the lead-up to conflict.

As conflicts deplete stockpiles and strain munitions production, U.S. to create research and manufacturing center to boost production of explosives.

HOMELAND SECURITY

Tragic. Afghan immigrant, ex-soldier, who had been evacuated from his home country after working for years with U.S. military died of apparent natural causes at Texas hospital after immigration authorities detained him. (RELATED: Democrats Defund Homeland Security As Jihadist Terrorism Surges)

US POWER OVERSEAS

New Army facility in Germany will allow U.S. soldiers across Europe to use high-tech equipment to develop solutions to battlefield problems.

IRAN CAMPAIGN

Diagramming the blows to Iran’s leadership. Here are some of the top Iranian leadership killed since U.S.-Israeli strikes began. And add Gholamreza Soleimani,  commander of dreaded Basij militia to this list.

War Secretary Pete Hegseth said Iran’s token “supreme” leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is “wounded and likely disfigured.” He has also previously been treated for impotence in London.

Late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei reportedly was wary of his son, newly elected Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, succeeding him, according to U.S. intelligence. The assessment also cited Khamenei’s concerns about his intelligence and sexual preferences.

More than 100 Iranian naval vessels destroyed, and ‘we aren’t done,’ CENTCOM leader says.

Israel claims destruction of ‘Iran Force One,’ the Iranian government’s Airbus A340, used to transport its leaders, in a strike on Mehrabad International Airport in Tehran.

Don’t count launches: Misreading Iran’s drone capacity. After Gulf War’s air campaign concluded in February 1991, U.S. commanders were confident that airpower had destroyed bulk of Iraq’s Republican Guard before ground offensive began. Later GAO review found they were wrong and identified why.

Iranian missile strike damaged five U.S. Air Force KC-135 Stratotanker refueling aircraft on ground at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, Trump said most were rapidly repaired. Air Force operates approximately 376 KC-135s. They are being gradually replaced with KC-46A Pegasus tankers. Air Force has fleet of 100 KC-46As.

Number of U.S. troops wounded in war against Iran has risen to about 200, mostly not seriously. 180 troops already returned to duty. 10 considered serious. Troops have been injured in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Jordan, Bahrain, Iraq, and Israel.

WAR’S REGIONAL/GLOBAL IMPACT

As allies resist U.S. call to help, President Trump recast his weekend call for U.S. allies to deploy warships to Strait of Hormuz as test of loyalty rather than strategic necessity.

Earlier Trump said NATO alliance faces “very bad” future if countries do not answer his call to keep Strait of Hormuz open. “It’s only appropriate that people who are the beneficiaries of the strait will help to make sure that nothing bad happens there.”

U.S. military possesses several capabilities that it could wield to combat naval mine warfare in the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran hits Gulf neighbors and keeps stranglehold on oil shipping as concerns rise of energy crisis. UAE briefly closed and then reopened its airspace, temporarily halting flights in crucial travel hub, as country’s military said it was facing incoming attacks from Iran. (RELATED: Marines Headed To Gulf Bring Firepower, Could Target Strategic Kharg Island)

India secured safe transit of two Indian flagged commercial vessels carrying liquified petroleum gas through Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has largely blockaded for commercial shipping.

ISRAEL AND LEBANON

Israel’s ground invasion of Lebanon opens new front in Middle East war, expanding its campaign against Iran by moving against one of its most powerful regional allies, Hezbollah, and stretching its military across unprecedented number of conflict zones.

Israel’s objectives in Lebanon campaign are based on more limited but long-term and consequential aim: permanently degrading the military capabilities of Iran and its regional proxies.

RUSSIA THREAT/UKRAINE WAR

Reports suggest Russia duping Africans into joining its depleted military to fight Ukraine – bolstering ranks for its “meat grinder” approach to warfare.

Africa tiptoes around recruitment of citizens by Russia.

Two-star U.S. Army general and head of command responsible for coordinating support for Ukraine left tube of classified maps on train in Europe, losing control of the sensitive material for 24 hours. The maps were recovered.

Russia launched rare daytime attack on Kyiv, with air defense batteries shooting down barrage of projectiles. Authorities said attack has so far caused no casualties.

ARCTIC THREATS

Norway’s elite soldiers for Arctic warfare swear by an old-fashioned method for staying hidden from drones’ sophisticated sensors: quinzhees, or snow caves, carefully dug by hand.

US MILITARY

Try as they might, military can’t ditch the reaper MQ-9 drone. It’s not stealthy, it’s getting up there in years and doesn’t have payload of fifth-generation fighters. But the MQ-9 Reaper drone system isn’t going to bone yard, yet.

Tesla’s Cybertruck could be right for battlefield. Surveillance by small, cheap quadcopter drones has made substantial battlefield advances nearly impossible amid Russia’s ongoing war on Ukraine. (RELATED: Shocking Standoff: Gun-Wielding Driver Vs. Tesla Cybertruck Owner)

Navy’s latest Fighting Instructions is not a plan, not a strategy, and not fighting instructions.

Navy says USS Nimitz will put off retirement and stay in service into next year.

Fincantieri ready to build everything from corvettes and unmanned vessels to ice breakers and cable laying ships for U.S. government as it rebounds from cancellation of Constellation frigate program.

As Navy builds out new career fields focused on operating drone boats and submarines, it’s repurposing specialist insignia pins from other job fields with similar requirements.

Air Force making it easier for Airmen to take time off around permanent change of station moves.

END of PDB

FOR MORE DETAILED, UNCENSORED, INTELLIGENCE, AND ANALYSIS FROM PAUL CRESPO, SUBSCRIBE TO HIS SUBSTACK.

The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the positions of American Liberty News.

READ NEXT: Key Trump Official Resigns

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Paul Crespo

Paul Crespo is the Managing Editor of American Liberty Defense News. As a Marine Corps officer, he led Marines, served aboard ships in the Pacific and jumped from helicopters and airplanes. He was also a military attaché with the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) at U.S. embassies worldwide. He later ran for state and federal office, taught political science, wrote for the editorial board of a major newspaper and had his own radio show. A graduate of Georgetown, London and Cambridge universities, he brings decades of experience and insight to the issues that most threaten our American liberty – at home and from abroad. To read more go to: paulcrespo.com.

1 Comment
    An American

    We weren’t prepared by Trump for the Iranian war? Really? If I can remember correctly, we CERTAINLY were given all necessary information about what would and could happen long ago.
    And we KNOW that if Iran was to build both nuclear weapons, and missiles with which to transport them to other, and to our, nation(s), we all would be in BIG trouble.
    If this world’s military and civilian ‘leaders’ would consider WWII and learn from it, they would see that stopping demented dictators ( as the allies should have done to Hitler in 1935 ) would stop the probability of much larger wars in the near future.
    To not learn from the past is to repeat it!

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