CNN’s Data Expert Shocked By Poll Showing Trump At His Lowest Since Jan. 6

The White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

A new Gallup poll discussed by CNN analyst Harry Enten shows President Donald Trump’s job approval falling to 36% — his weakest standing since shortly after the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riot. The drop leaves Trump with a net approval rating of minus 24 points. Earlier this year, his numbers were slightly positive or close to even, making the recent decline especially sharp.

Enten noted that Trump’s deficit is deeper than the gap George W. Bush faced ahead of Republicans’ heavy losses in the 2006 midterms, and far below the levels of support Dwight Eisenhower and Ronald Reagan enjoyed at similar points. He added that Trump’s numbers also lag behind those of Democratic presidents Harry Truman, Lyndon Johnson, Barack Obama, and Bill Clinton, placing his approval rating among the lowest recorded since the 1940s.

Weak Marks on the Economy and Inflation

The poll highlights deep voter frustration with economic issues that have historically been among Trump’s greatest strengths. Enten called Trump’s inflation numbers “a complete and total disaster,” citing a roughly 25-point net negative on the issue. Trump is also underwater on the broader economy, an area voters consistently list as their top concern.

Historical Context Raises the Stakes

Only one post–World War II president — Richard Nixon — had weaker approval numbers at this point in a second term. The erosion poses significant risks for Republicans heading into 2026, particularly among independents and swing voters who appear to be shifting away. If the trend holds, Enten said a GOP loss of the House is “all but guaranteed.” At the same time, Democrats may be gaining fresh momentum as the broader political environment tilts in their favor.

What Could Change the Picture

These numbers could still shift. A rebound in inflation, improved economic sentiment, or additional foreign policy wins could help Trump recover lost ground; approval ratings often move quickly when voters feel financial pressure ease.

Turnout will also be critical. Low approval ratings do not guarantee Republican losses, but they increase pressure on GOP turnout operations, especially in battleground districts.

Ultimately, kitchen-table concerns — cost of living, crime, and economic confidence — will shape how voters judge both parties next year.

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Patrick Houck

Patrick Houck is an avid political enthusiast based out of the Washington, D.C., metro area. His expertise is in campaigns and the use of targeted messaging to persuade voters. When not combing through the latest news, you can find him enjoying the company of family and friends or pursuing his love of photography.

4 Comments
    RAA

    Gallop Poll …Credibility …? In most places, lower energy/gasoline costs; Thanksgiving dinner less expensive; net positive wage gains …

    Richard Gift

    Sorry but anything comeing out of CNN the Clown News Network has no credibility at all. 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸

    Randy Thompson

    Given the 24×7 propaganda and lies from the leftist-controlled media, I’m surprised it isn’t worse. A person needs to be able to see through the fog of hate and lies to find the truth and be a Trump supporter.

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