Nonpartisan Political Forecaster Shifts Lauren Boebert Race Toward Dems

Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report spelled out some bad news for popular Republican firebrand Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) on Thursday. The report shifted the competitive House district race from “lean Republican” to “toss up.”

Cook senior editor David Wasserman said the change in the rating came after campaign disclosure reports revealed Boebert’s challenger raised triple in the second quarter. 

Boebert is preparing for a rematch against Adam Frisch, a Democrat who lost to Boebert in 2022 with a razor-thin margin.

The Hill reported that in the latest second quarter campaign filings, covering April-June disclosures, Frisch raised an impressive $2.6 million while Boebert brought in roughly $818,000. 

Frisch’s campaign said earlier this month that his second-quarter fundraising numbers broke the record “for the largest quarterly fundraising for a U.S. House challenger in the year before an election, excluding special elections and self-funded campaigns.”

In the first quarter, Frisch also outraised Boebert. He raised $1.7 million, according to his finance disclosure, and Boebert raised about $764,000. 

“Not only has Boebert avoided taking any steps to moderate her image since coming within 546 votes of losing to former Aspen Councilman Adam Frisch in 2022, Frisch outraised her by a massive $2.6 million to $810,000 in the second quarter thanks to an avalanche of small-dollar donations,” Wasserman wrote in his analysis, adding that Boebert’s recent charge to block the annual defense reauthorization bill over social wedge issues is likely to give Frisch leverage. 

Wasserman noted, however, that despite his strong fundraising figures, Frisch still has a difficult battle ahead — as national Republican groups will no longer give Frisch “a free pass” and instead, “likely to invest heavily to redefine the self-styled moderate as a limousine liberal out of step with the Western Slope.”

Wasserman also said the 2024 race is likely to be determined by the 80,000 voters who did not vote in the 2022 midterms and who skew independent.

The shift toward Democrats is concerning as Republicans seek to hold on to their slim majority in the House of Representatives.

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Nancy Butler

Nancy grew up in the South where her passion for politics first began. After getting her BA in journalism from Ole Miss she became an arts and culture writer for Athens Magazine where she enjoyed reporting on the eclectic music and art scene in Athens, GA.

However, her desire to report on issues and policies impacting everyday Americans won out and she packed her bags for Washington, DC. Now, she splits her time between the Nation’s Capital and Philadelphia where she covers the fast-paced environment of politics, business, and news.
In her off time, you can find Nancy exploring museums or enjoying brunch with friends.

4 Comments
    Diana Brown

    Im not in Colorado but Ill say this to any/all Coloradoans….KEEP BOEBERT IN.

    T. M. Riddell

    Rep. Boebert better start defending herself against the barrage of choreographed attacks on social media. I’m in her district, have met her and chatted at a rally, and REALLY believe in her. The woke Aspen crowd wouldn’t even elect her opponent to mayer, he’s so bad of a person. However, he has promulgated a lot of unwarranted charges (e.g., ignoring needs of veterans, etc.) on various social media that desperately need to be refuted by Rep. Boebert’s staff. FWIW

    Mick

    “nonpartisan Cook Political Report”

    Stopped reading right there.

Comments are closed.

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