Multiple Republican-leaning states stand to likely to gain House seats after the 2030 census, according to consulting firm Election Data Services.
According to The Hill, Texas, Florida, Arizona and Idaho will all likely see gains as a result.
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A gain of two congressional seats would be seen in Texas and Florida, and one seat each in Arizona and Idaho, if congressional reapportionment were being ”held today,” the firm said in a Friday press release. That is based on population estimates for 2024 from the U.S. Census Bureau.
California would lose two seats, while Illinois, Minnesota, New York and Oregon would see the loss of one seat in the case of apportionment being held right now, according to those population estimates, the firm said.
Seats being lost in places like New York and California, some of the biggest states in the U.S. by population, could also be a risk for Democrats. The Empire State and Golden State are currently considered left-leaning strongholds that have been key to Democratic victories and power in recent years.
The increase in seats in the commonly right-leaning four states would be beneficial for Republicans, who have a narrow majority in the House.
In an interview with Fox News’s Bret Baier that aired earlier this month, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) was asked about a report from The New York Times about the Speaker soon having to deal with a slim Republican majority in the lower chamber.
“Look, we’re excited about this. We’ve demonstrated already that we can govern with a small majority,” Johnson responded. “And, I’m very confident that we can check the boxes and get this agenda done, and [it’ll be] very aggressive beginning right out of the gate.”
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It should also be noted that the census workers count illegal immigrants and non citizens which determines representation based on population. Another reason besides giving them voting rights Dems wanted them.
The Constitution requires an enumeration WITHIN every term of 10 years, as directed by Congress. Can we have a 2025 census to account for the Census Bureau admitting to miscounting in 2010 in favor of the DNC and for interstate migration since that time.?