Friday, May 3, 2024

What Do Trump’s Rivals Genuinely Hope To Achieve?

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History says the large field of Republican presidential candidates will start to shrink long before the first votes are cast in January's caucuses.

But until then, it looks like there's room for more, as former Texas Rep. declared his candidacy for the GOP presidential nomination. While many will say, “Will who?” the former House member and one-time rising star is positioning himself as an anti-Trump moderate (the same general approach as former Gov. ). (RELATED: Most Americans Think Chris Christie Wrong On Stance For Child Gender Procedures)

Hurd's bid is the longest of long shots, meaning he is likely to get more attention than primary votes. It's somewhat similar to the approach of another recent presidential entrant, Miami Mayor . Suarez is running as an anti-Trump, anti- candidate. (RELATED: New Polls Suggest DeSantis Has Edge Over Post-Indictment Trump)

Well, good luck to them both, and let's see if either one makes it to Iowa. Or, for that matter, to the first presidential debate in Milwaukee this August.

That stragglers continue to join the GOP field – and let's not forget the aggressive wish-casting that Virginia Gov. will pile in, too – is a sign. Of what? Ambition, of course. Opportunity, too. Former president (and 2024 frontrunner) Donald Trump has considerable courtroom time ahead of him. There is a real possibility it sidetracks/hurts or even takes him out of the running.

And so they come, one after another. Because there may be real upside to running and losing:

There are incentives for running for president as a longshot. Just look at . The former mayor of the fourth largest city in Indiana vaulted over better known rivals to win the Iowa caucuses, going from someone whose last name tripped up even seasoned news anchors to parlaying his run into a six-figure podcast deal, a book deal, and guest hosting a late night show. Not to mention a Cabinet spot in the .

“Pete showed that it's possible for a complete longshot who the elites and the establishment totally wrote off at the beginning to become a top-tier contender,” Lis Smith, Buttigieg's senior communications adviser, said. “And so it makes sense that future presidential candidates would sort of look at the model and try to emulate it. What I would say is that lightning doesn't usually strike twice. It's going to be very difficult for anyone to sort of emulate what he was able to do.”

While Buttigieg's people may think he's positioned for the future, third-tier cabinet officials seldom make credible presidential contenders. Though they can make general safe and bland vice presidential running mates.

But the larger point about running to make an impression for a future run is a very real thing, indeed. Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush…all ran at least once for the nomination before winning it – and the presidency. John McCain and Mitt Romney are examples of candidates who ran at least once before winning the nomination.

With his third run for the White House, Trump is trying to do a Grover Cleveland – win a third consecutive nomination and a second, non-consecutive presidential term.

Running, then, does have an upside. Even if the odds of winning the first time are forbidding.

The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the positions of American Liberty News.

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Norman Leahy
Norman Leahy
Norman Leahy has written about national and Virginia politics for more than 30 years with outlets ranging from The Washington Post to BearingDrift.com. A consulting writer, editor, recovering think tank executive and campaign operative, Norman lives in Virginia.

5 COMMENTS

  1. The stupid gop better learn to read a voting bloc. I’ll help, we are sick of you gutless panderers stuck on abortion and nothing else. There is only one other candidate in the field I’d even consider supporting, the governor of Florida is a hint. Support OUR candidate or go die!

    • The trouble is DeSantis is an establishment Republican that the Rinos can push any way they want.Plus he is backed by people that are not our friends.

  2. I already know who I am voting for. So do the majority of decent Americans.

    All the wannabe Repubs can join the DemonCraps and waste all their time, effort, energy, and money in challenging Trump if they really want to. I wouldn’t waste one lousy second of attention on a single one of them. Neither will the majority of decent Americans.

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